Climate Capacity Building: Risk Anticipation and Minimization
As of: November 2020
Risk forecasting and risk mitigation measures are crucial approaches to improving resilience to changes in the regional climate. The project aims to strengthen climate capacities in the partner countries. By using seasonal forecasts of climate phenomena and climate projections, the consequences for water balance and agriculture are estimated and the impact of such phenomena and trends on climate migration patterns is assessed. The expertise regarding climate risks and their predictions is developed in a user-oriented way and anchored in the partner countries. In conjunction with observational data and seasonal forecasts, recurrent phenomena such as the Indian Summer Monsoon and El Niño, as well as trends caused by climate change, are projected. The data is used in the agricultural and water sector to estimate the impact on the living environment of the population. This in turn contributes to better understanding and anticipating climate-induced migration movements.
State of implementation/results
- Launch of the EPICC Project Website: www.pik-potsdam.de/….
- Launch of an own Twitter Channel: @EpiccPik (Link: twitter.com/… ).
- EPICC Factsheet: Developed in cooperation with GIZ (Link: www.pik-potsdam.de/… ).
- EPICC kicked-off the Project through its Workshops in the partner countries in 2018 (Link: www.pik-potsdam.de/…).
- The 2nd Workshops in 2019: EPICC shared its partial results to evaluate the utility and acceptance by users and partners in the partner countries (Link: www.pik-potsdam.de/…).
- The German Advisory Board consists of eleven high-level actors from the fields of science, policy and development cooperation (Link: www.pik-potsdam.de/…).
- The 1st and 2nd Meeting of the German Advisory Board took place at PIK in Potsdam in 2018 and in 2019 (Link: www.pik-potsdam.de/…).
- The 1st Meeting of the Peruvian Advisory Board took place at Senamhi in Lima in 2019 (Link: www.pik-potsdam.de/…).
- Guest experts from the partner countries visit PIK for short research stays (Link: www.pik-potsdam.de/…).
- EPICC team members share their knowledge through participation in international conferences (Link: www.pik-potsdam.de/…).
- The 1st EPICC Trainings to support climate capacities and provide science-based policy advice took place in Lima and Iquitos (Peru) as well as in Potsdam (Germany) in 2019 (Link: www.pik-potsdam.de/…).
- Onset and Withdrawal date of the Indian Summer Monsoon were successfully forecasted (Link: www.pik-potsdam.de/…).
- News and Press Releases on the EPICC Project: Latest research findings on the Monsoon and El Niño forecast, Indian media outlets, scientific lectures on climate and migration (incl. videos), etc. (Link: www.pik-potsdam.de/…).
- Scientific Publications (Link: www.pik-potsdam.de/…).
- Further Links: The Project Team transfers their knowledge on climate and migration issues: Scientist Dr. Jingfang Fan speaks about the network approach at the PNAS Science Sessions podcast. The approach is used to develop the model of global climate systems. (Link: podbay.fm/…). Ph.D. student Julia Blocher talks on the nexus of climate change and migration for TEDx LUISS. (Link: www.youtube.com/…). Ph.D. student Jonas Bergmann participates in a workshop dedicated to developing multi-stakeholder approaches to conservation practices in the Alto Mayo region of Peru. (Link: sustainability.asu.edu/…). Senior Scientific Advisor Prof. Dr. Dr. h.c. Hans Joachim Schellnhuber talks at the Science Circle Lecture “The Climate Emergency, the German "Energiewende" and the Great Transformation” facilitated by the German Embassy New Delhi (Link: www.dwih-newdelhi.org/…). Project Lead Dr. Kira Vinke delivers a presentation on climate protection and peace at the Synod of the German Protestant Church. (German) (Link: www.ekd.de/…). Researchers participate in COP 25 in Madrid and lead a session on agricultural adaptation planning in Sub-Saharan Africa. (Link: www.pik-potsdam.de/…).
- Seminars and Lectures on the EPICC topics can be found at the EPICC Website (Link: www.pik-potsdam.de/…).
- Appointment of the EPICC Project Lead Dr. Kira Vinke to the Advisory Council on Civilian Crisis Prevention and Peacebuilding of the German Federal Government; and election to the co-chair (Link: www.auswaertiges-amt.de/…).