Brazil East Africa Peru India Climate Capacities (B-EPICC)

Risk forecasting and risk mitigation measures are crucial approaches to improving resilience to changes in the regional climate. The project built local capacity to improve resilience to regional climate variability and trends by using seasonal forecasting of climate phenomena to assess their impacts on water balance, biodiversity and agriculture, as well as impacts on climate migration patterns. The development and use of expertise on climate risks and their prediction was embedded in the target countries. Recurrent phenomena such as monsoons, El Niño, and Indian Ocean Dipole, as well as climate change induced trends were projected. This data was in the agriculture, biodiversity and water sectors to understand the impacts on the population. This is needed to understand and anticipate migration patterns caused by climate phenomena.

Project data

Countries: Brazil, Ethiopia, India, Peru, Tanzania
IKI funding: 6,869,213.15 €
Duration: 01/2018 till 05/2024
Status: completed
Implementing organisation: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung e.V. - PIK) - Germany
Political Partner: Environment, Forest and Climate Change Commission (EFCCC) - Ethiopia

Ministry of Agriculture (MoA) - Tanzania

Ministry of Environment (MINAM) - Peru

Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation (MCTI) - Brazil

Parliament of Telengana state - Legislative Assembly Telangana Rashtra Samithi – India
Implementing Partner: The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI) - India
Online: https://www.pik-potsdam.de/research/projects/activities/epicc

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State of implementation/results

Project completed.

Overarching:
- In 01/2024, final project events took place at PIK, to which scientists from all partner countries were invited. The focus was on international exchange and the application of the project results in the countries. In addition to a variety of event formats for discussion, knowledge exchange and research, the week ended with a project conference with various stakeholders from science and politics, representatives of the embassies of the partner countries and the project’s advisory board.
- In 2023, eight scientists from the partner countries Ethiopia, Brazil, India and Peru were invited to work on their research at PIK in collaboration with colleagues from the project. Seven further guest scientists have been invited until 01/2024.
- The “ClimateImpactsOnline” web portal was expanded to include Ethiopia and the Amazon region. Test sessions with users from the regions were held in 11/2023 and 12/2023 to determine the country- and region-specific usage requirements. The portal illustrates possible effects of climate change.
- Memoranda of Understanding (MoU): to intensify cooperation with partner countries, collaborations were established with Ethiopian Forest Development, Jimma Center (EFD-JC), Ethio Wetlands and Natural Resources Association (EWNRA) and Universidade Federal Minas Gerais (UFMG), Brazil.
- Scientists from the project participated in various international conferences and seminars to present their research.
Ethiopia:
- In 09/2023, two virtual workshops on capacity building for climate migration research in forest development took place in Ethiopia.
- In 05/2023, the first project workshop took place in Ethiopia. It presented the project work with the partners, deepened existing cooperation and contributed to networking between the participating stakeholders.
- A climate risk profile for East Africa was developed in cooperation with GIZ and the two PIK projects AGRICA and Weathering Risk.
- The Ethiopia climate migration report in cooperation with the International Organisation for Migration (IOM) has been completed and publication is expected in the first half of 2024.
- A policy brief on climate migration in Ethiopia was published in cooperation with the IOM.
Brazil:
- The web portal “ClimateImpactsOnline” was expanded to include the Amazon region with the help of the data collected in the project (see overarching information).
- A kick-off workshop was held in Brazil in 08/2022.
India:
- In 10/2023, the first Climate Talk took place at the German Embassy in New Delhi, where project scientist Prof Surovyatkina presented the method developed in the project for early monsoon forecasting.
- An information video was developed for the dissemination and use of the early monsoon forecast, especially for farmers. The film is expected to be released in spring 2024.
Peru:
- A planned MoU between PIK and SENAMHI (Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrologia del Perú) was officially confirmed by SENAMHI on their website.
- In 11/2023, a final project conference was held in Lima, at which research results were presented and their concrete application discussed. The event also served to promote networking and dialogue between stakeholders on the further use of the research after the end of the project.
- In 11/2022, a high-ranking Peruvian delegation accompanied by the Minister of the Environment, Wilbert Gabriel Rozas Beltrán, and the Vice Minister, Yamina Silva Vidal, visited the project team at PIK and discussed future cooperation opportunities.
- A new approach for estimating precipitation patterns was developed by project scientists and applied to create the RAIN4PE (Rain for Peru and Ecuador) dataset, which is used by GIZ and the Peruvian water authority ANA.